Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.752620 2.938781 3.137449 3.366322 3.624084 3.907041 4.243414
2025-12-21 2.471431 2.725977 3.013130 3.364983 3.790105 4.294821 4.951575
2025-12-28 2.290464 2.577935 2.913805 3.342366 3.885751 4.568377 5.520279
2026-01-04 2.115478 2.414038 2.771419 3.240718 3.857103 4.665317 5.855954
2026-01-11 2.015174 2.329049 2.713352 3.232007 3.937083 4.902358 6.408743
2026-01-18 1.960365 2.294077 2.711884 3.291518 4.108014 5.278448 7.226133
2026-01-25 2.055947 2.453737 2.969879 3.719147 4.840427 6.584936 9.865139
2026-02-01 1.928155 2.313476 2.818331 3.560530 4.690639 6.492211 10.012530
2026-02-08 1.806138 2.174976 2.661483 3.382995 4.495015 6.298683 9.923089
2026-02-15 1.740336 2.108538 2.599700 3.338999 4.502376 6.447089 10.555751
2026-02-22 1.668432 2.030506 2.517531 3.258765 4.443676 6.470925 10.928111
2026-03-01 1.597547 1.951031 2.429600 3.164334 4.353607 6.426745 11.137448
2026-03-08 1.519668 1.864703 2.335969 3.068160 4.273948 6.431825 11.573961
2026-03-15 1.474909 1.822979 2.304924 3.067785 4.359008 6.770699 13.002341
2026-03-22 1.429021 1.777026 2.264441 3.048294 4.406961 7.043172 14.394668
2026-03-29 1.368110 1.707153 2.185130 2.960843 4.324134 7.029921 14.941234
2026-04-05 1.333303 1.672876 2.156627 2.953336 4.385528 7.337485 16.711750
2026-04-12 1.316241 1.663090 2.163885 3.004583 4.561764 7.941257 20.055136
2026-04-19 1.374408 1.765082 2.347194 3.370290 5.411829 10.492619 37.192247
2026-04-26 1.314490 1.689508 2.249179 3.235151 5.210351 10.163471 36.838616
2026-05-03 1.253784 1.611185 2.144372 3.083185 4.962230 9.666085 34.856525
2026-05-10 1.221309 1.574311 2.104122 3.045407 4.957994 9.888925 39.045571
2026-05-17 1.183840 1.528791 2.048364 2.976389 4.879097 9.873154 41.347857